The Next Hundred Million

The Next Hundred Million

America in 2050

eBook - 2010
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Visionary social thinker Joel Kotkin looks ahead to America in 2050, revealing how the addition of one hundred million Americans by midcentury will transform how we all live, work, and prosper. In stark contrast to the rest of the world's advanced nations, the United States is growing at a record rate and, according to census projections, will be home to four hundred million Americans by 2050. This projected rise in population is the strongest indicator of our long-term economic strength, Kotkin believes, and will make us more diverse and more competitive than any nation on earth. Drawing on prodigious research, firsthand reportage, and historical analysis, this book reveals how this unprecedented growth will take physical shape and change the face of America--focusing not on power brokers, policy disputes, or abstract trends, but rather on the evolution of the more intimate units of American society: families, towns, neighborhoods, industries.--From publisher description.
Publisher: New York : Penguin Press, 2010
ISBN: 9781101195284
Branch Call Number: Overdrive eBook
Characteristics: 1 online resource (308 p.)


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Mar 16, 2012

The majority criticism aimed at this book appears to come from flawed premises. "America cannot sustain its people now never mind another 100 million," some have said. Also, there is a severe pessimism in the current economic climate. The flaw is in assuming it's going to be this way for a long time.

This recession is bad, but it will be a mere blip in history. This country will rebound stronger than ever by the reasons presented in this book.

America is not a zero-sum game. Adding 100 million more people in the next 40 years does not equal taking away from 100 million others. These 100 million will be younger, smarter and just as committed to a better life for themselves and their families. They will generate wealth and resources which will fuel the growth, not accelerate the decline.

Other than population growth, the next strongest point this book makes is the case for suburban living. The downside of the suburbs is commuting and a decentralized urban core. The commute problem is being solved by smaller businesses in the local area and global network connectivity reducing the need to be in a central location (like an office). Unlike commuting, decentralizing the urban core is not fixable, nor should it be. Strong urban centers will either be over-crowded or over-priced, and young families will overwhelmingly seek a better life elsewhere.

Has the recession got you down? I recommend this book for the clear case it makes that America will survive and thrive.


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